Bull Euphoria?
The Start of Euphoria? I started to feel a bit twitchy recently. Too many positive headlines! When the news is gloomy, we know we’re not in euphoria, and that’s comforting. But when optimism dominates every front page, history suggests we’re getting close to the end of the bull’s run. Your browser does not support the […]
Why Bother?
Why bother with charts? It was a question that set my back on my heels the other day – along the lines of ‘if we have clear ITM signals for buying and selling why bother with candlesticks, charts, and all that?’ A fair question. I sat down with a cup of coffee to think about […]
Tariff Tantrums 2
Tariff Tantrums Again! I had planned to do this week’s blog on letting runners win – but after Friday’s drop that seemed to be in rather bad taste. Instead, we revisit the previous tariff tantrum and see if we can work out what is likely to happen this time around. Your browser does not support […]
Bull Markets
How long do bull markets last? What we are really asking is : how long is THIS bull market going to last? And, of course, we don’t know – but we can look at what has happened in the part and figure out what is likely to happen. The Last 40 Years Going back to […]
Open Interest
Open Interest & Spreads. There’s zero open interest! Does that mean I will not be able to sell my option? It is a question I am often asked, and fortunately it is easy to answer: No. Not with SPY. Let’s have a look and see why. What is Open Interest? Open interest is the total […]
Black Swans
Avoiding Black Swans. Traders fear losses – I get that. The sting of a loss outweighs the satisfaction of an equivalent gain. Right now, using the ITM Strategy we are sitting on a nice profit since the golden cross in May (24% – 30% depending on your strike) and people are getting twitchy about losing […]
