ITM Backtesting

This page presents the historical bull-market backtesting results for the ITM strategy applied to SPY. The results shown cover long-term market conditions and are generated mechanically from the published rules, without optimisation or discretionary adjustment.

Results Summary - SPY

The SPY backtest covers multiple full market cycles and applies the same entry and exit rules throughout the test period. Results are shown for both the 50% and 60% in-the-money variants of the ITM strategy, allowing comparison of behaviour under identical market conditions.

Trades - SPY

The following trade lists show all SPY positions generated by the ITM rules during the test period, recorded sequentially with no filtering or discretionary adjustment.

The trade dates shown are identical for both the 50% and 60% in-the-money variants of the ITM strategy; only the option strike selection differs.

Performance Graphs - SPY

The graphs below show the cumulative performance of the ITM strategy applied to SPY over the test period. Results are shown separately for the 50% and 60% in-the-money variants, using identical trade timing and underlying price data.

SPY Dividends reinvested

All SPY results shown on this page are generated from the same underlying trade signals and timing. The differences between the 50% and 60% in-the-money variants reflect position structure rather than trade selection. No filtering, optimisation, or discretionary adjustments have been applied to the results shown.

Summary Notes - SPY

All SPY results shown on this page are generated from the same underlying trade signals and timing. Differences between the 50% and 60% in-the-money variants arise from option structure rather than trade selection. No filtering, optimisation, or discretionary adjustments have been applied to the results shown.

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Please note that Heather answers all questions at the end of the ITM Blog.

 

Happy trading!