Volatility Crush

Volatility Crush Well, we are back in the market and things have been looking more positive. I am writing this after trading on Thursday, and I saw an example of volatility crush so I thought it would be a good thing to have a look at, along with time decay. Options Charts I spent a […]
The Bulls are Back

Are The Bulls Back? I’m back from my trip, and it seems that the bulls are back also. There’s a peculiar sort of pain in sitting on the sidelines watching the market go up, and we have had that pain in spades over the last 8 days. When I sent out the special update, the […]
Why Backtest?

Why Backtest? I’ve been getting a lot of emails and comments about backtesting (thank you) – but one of them set me back on my heels (thanks Michael! :)). It was simply:
Snake Oil

Snake Oil Strategies. I have been getting a lot of queries about alternative strategies and backtesting – which is good, and keeps me on my toes. I try to check out all the strategies that are suggested. The main complaint is: Why Not Get Out Sooner? Most suggestions involve getting out sooner in a downturn […]
The MACD

The MACD – An Anachronism? The MACD is one of the three technical indicators most commonly used by traders, and used in many different ways. According to Chat GPT: MACD is a versatile indicator that provides insights into trend direction, momentum, and potential entry and exit points in trading. In other words, the MACD seems […]
Riding the Market

Riding The market We all ride the same market – but we have very different results. Research shows that between 70% and 90% of traders lose money – you have to wonder: why do we do it? In his book, Best Loser Wins, Tom Hougaard, has some fascinating statistics. He cites a study of 25,000 […]