Tariff Tantrums 2

Tariff Tantrums Again! I had planned to do this week’s blog on letting runners win – but after Friday’s drop that seemed to be in rather bad taste. Instead, we revisit the previous tariff tantrum and see if we can work out what is likely to happen this time around. Your browser does not support […]
Bull Markets

How long do bull markets last? What we are really asking is : how long is THIS bull market going to last? And, of course, we don’t know – but we can look at what has happened in the part and figure out what is likely to happen. The Last 40 Years Going back to […]
Open Interest

Open Interest & Spreads. There’s zero open interest! Does that mean I will not be able to sell my option? It is a question I am often asked, and fortunately it is easy to answer: No. Not with SPY. Let’s have a look and see why. What is Open Interest? Open interest is the total […]
Black Swans

Avoiding Black Swans. Traders fear losses – I get that. The sting of a loss outweighs the satisfaction of an equivalent gain. Right now, using the ITM Strategy we are sitting on a nice profit since the golden cross in May (24% – 30% depending on your strike) and people are getting twitchy about losing […]
Time Value

Options Time Value. Getting bad reviews is part and parcel of publishing a book – don’t do it if you have a thin skin! I do take them rather too much to heart (although I am trying to develop a thicker hide) The most annoying thing is that you have no way of replying. Even […]
Trendlines

Trendlines. The trendline is one of the simplest, and most used, tools in technical analysis – but it is certainly not an objective measure. Two traders can look at the same chart and draw entirely different lines, and both can be technically correct. It is very much a subjective indicator. Podcast Prefer to listen? Your […]